3627 Responses from 66 Countries

TEP Logistics Market Survey Q4 2022

The TEP Logistics Market Survey raised questions on the expectations for the 4th quarter of 2022 during the September 2022.

How do you rate the current general business climate in your industry in your home country?

| Depressed
| Pessimistic
| Normal
| Optimistic
| Enthusiastic
Options Responses % Responses #
Depressed 3.11 % 8
Pessimistic 40.08 % 103
Normal 31.52 % 81
Optimistic 22.96 % 59
Enthusiastic 2.33 % 6
Total 257
Answer Statements
Forwarder from India
India has emerged as the fastest-growing major economy in the world and is expected to be one of the top three economic powers globally over the next 10-15 years. GDP growth in FY 2021-22 stands at 8.7%, which is 1.5% higher than the real GDP in FY 2019-20. stronger growth momentum & indicating increased economic demand. The investment rate in Q1-22 increased to its highest level compared with previous nine quarters. Capacity utilisation in the manufacturing sector rose during this period implying build-up in demand, which is consistent with the growth. Capital spending by government in the Indian economy is expected is supported by factors including tax buoyancy, streamlined tax system, thorough assessment and rationalization of the tariff structure and digitization of tax filing. In the medium term, an increase in capital spending on infrastructure and asset-building projects is set to increase growth multipliers.
Forwarder from Germany
especially the biggest contributor in regards to GP, FEWB, is not going to be that positive in the 4th quarter due to the fact that many clients have a full stock and consumers are becoming more careful as to what they spend their money on, I personally think we are finally getting a little bit closer to reality again. On the other side there are other lanes which are picking up and where new business can be generated
Forwarder from United States
Warehouses are full and retail sales are not as strong as expected. This means containers are backed up at the inland locations and ports. Additionally, many companies have shifted their routings from the west coast U.S. to the east coast ports in anticipation of strikes or slowdowns with the ILWU, It is possible that these negotiations get pushed to after the election in which case they may strike.
Forwarder from Turkey
We follow the flow very close . 4th quarter will be difficult in terms of international transport due to imbalance of the market and raising costs however we hope to find opportunities in it . Customers are nowadays changing their buying habits to 'spot' rather then long term agreement and it means we can reach out more customers and even have the chance with the ones we follow for long .
Forwarder from Spain
More than pessimism, it is about uncertainty, since there are too many external circumstances (war in Ukraine, increased interest rates, ...) that make it difficult to make a minimally accurate forecast. My guess is that we have experienced a summer of excessive leisure consumption (two years closed and an uncertain future) and now we are facing a hard autumn and a frozen winter...
Forwarder from Romania
We definitely see a drop in the market volumes on all trade lanes both on Air and Sea freight. The rates on sea freight from CN into EU have already dropped a lot and the previsions are in the same direction. Therefore we are expecting an economic contraction all over the world but in particular in Europe considering the struggles with the energy that is only beginning
Forwarder from Poland
Increasing inflation - changing the behavior of the end customer - reduces orders. Which directly / or indirectly translates into a decrease in both domestic and international volumes. In particular, a decrease in the volume of imports is noticeable - the justification for this is - a high EUR exchange rate.
Forwarder from Poland
Rynek przewozów morskich kurczy się już od dłuższego czasu, co więcej stawki spadają i osiągają 50% wartości z okresu zeszłorocznego. Rynek drobnicy krajowej jak i międzynarodowej - znacznie obniżył wolumeny - co w konsekwencji przedkłada się na zwiększoną aktywność konkurencji i początki walki cenowej.
Forwarder from Germany
Overall volumes compared to recent volumes expected to decline but overall volume is still in general on a high level and the market situation requires new solutions fitting the actual needs. Reduction of costs, environmental pressure and geopolitical circumstances require to review supply chains now.
Forwarder from United States
Overcapacity and declining demand past Golden Week seem to continue the trend of softening rates to USWC and USEC. Unless carriers deploy a extreme blank sailing program rates will most likely continue to decrease. So far carriers have been more talk than action in this regard.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
The complexity is about to increase again with suppressed ocean capacity and the charter operators being squeezed out on price; struggling to manage over-bearing commitments. This will continue to provide opportunities for new business, for those that are agile and responsive.
Forwarder from Philippines
Our country is expected to grow due to foreign investments from the US, EU, and even by Chinese SMEs. We've seen our exports grow this 2022 compared to 2021 and due to opening of the economy after 2 years of lockdown, we are expected to grow in terms of GDP.
Forwarder from Sweden
For the Chinese market, the volumes are dropping very quickly, the Americas is still quite strong. I would estimate that the prices for sea and air freight out of China will continue to drop, most likelly to a level for seaat 2000/4000/4000 in Q1 2023
Forwarder from Mexico
The constant events that disrupts the environment such as, port congestions, port strikes, blank sailings, lack of equipment, geopolitical issues among others, don´t make things go at ease. Even when rates "have decreased" allocation issues reamain.
Carrier from Ecuador
Q4 usually means Peak Season in Airfreight industry. In that regard we a somewhat optimistic. However China restrictions and economic global recession; plus the war RU-Ukraine has had impact in the airfreight imports and exports in our country.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Recession looms e-commerce and retail impacted significantly and the additional strain on disposable income makes for an uncertain time. Consumer and commercial confidence will take time to recover further hampered by interest rate rises.
Forwarder from Singapore
With the weaker global economic conditions and looming inflation, consumers purchasing power is not as strong in Q4.. In addition majority of the suppliers' warehouses are full hence foresee a slowdown of inventory stock clearance..
Forwarder from Canada
The decline in Ocean and Air rates into North America has been as steep as the increase was at the beginning of the pandemic. Although ocean capacity has increased, the port and rail congestion will continue for some time to come.
Forwarder from United States
Volume Drop over the past three years was overly compensated by high Gross Profit Margins. The falling rate levels will not allow the margins and as consequence lead to profitability challenge for most small and midsized FF..
Forwarder from United Kingdom
The legacy of the Pandemic and now the accelerating energy crisis is causing global volumes to drop like a stone. There is little to suggest this will turn around, in fact I don’t think it’s hit it’s peak of decline yet.
Forwarder from Belgium
big recession on its way/already started. Manufacturing shutting down gradually or relocating their activities to US or Asia (chemicals/automotive). Orderbook for raw materials like leather is down with 50% for 2023
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Cost of living is dramatically impacting key “peak season” sectors - especially retail and eComm. Traditional manufacturing and aftermarket activities are suffering as a ripple effect throughout the supply chain
Forwarder from Switzerland
No of orders and volumes are dropping - Problems with carriers and sub contactors remain - personnel issues keeping & finding new talent is difficult as there is little interest in stressful logistics job.
Forwarder from Chile
Chile is currently in a uncertainty position, since the Constitution Change that have being processed. According to this, the investment (both Chilean and foreign) has being really restrictive.
Forwarder from Ukraine
Situation in the logistic market in UA is very challenging. Despite some territories occupied by russians and some territories under heavy shelling, logistics remains in high demand.
Forwarder from United States
Business is steady and we’re making good margins but with ocean freight rates plummeted it’s going to be harder to make money. Air freight also coming way down and margins are tight.
Forwarder from Singapore
In Asia, except China, major economies are still doing well. Unfortunately the challenges from Europe and US also have an impact here, so our predictions are not overly optimistic
Forwarder from Austria
The current Volumes, price & rate level is creating very high, not longlasting profits. As soon Consumer will not spent that much money the total Volume will reduce heavely.
Forwarder from Zimbabwe
The country is experincing evconomic shocks inclusive of inflation, low production, high interest rates and political instable. This is affecting the entire freight sector
Forwarder from Switzerland
rate are slowly coming down on certain lanes. But carriers are masters now in managing capacity (blank sailings) so rates will come at certain moment on par with capacity
Forwarder from Nigeria
We expect a quick recovery of the shipping sector services in the last quarter of 2022 based of expected global recoveries from the COVID 19 pandemic across the globe.
Carrier from Turkey
Due to the Pandemic, companies prefer to buy from Turkey. Another reason is currency so I strongly think this positioning will occur on the next 2-3 years, at least.
Forwarder from United States
After two years of chaos, while chaos still exists this is the norm and any good company will be sufficiently adjusted to cope with the ups and downs of the market
Transport Client from Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka is moving ahead , people in all industries are optimistic doing their part to bring Sri Lanka to a stable economy along with the respective authorities.
Transport Client from Netherlands
we enjpyed a very strong 1st H this year but see first signs of pessimism. historically the 2nd H is stronger then 1st H in our biz environment. so hard to rank
Forwarder from United States
Hard to say if we are in a recession or leading up to it. Market is down and most likely will continue for another 10%. Inflation is high though slowing down.
Forwarder from Denmark
Optimistic about capacity and more competitive rates for shippers, but the uncertainty about stagnation and heavy falling volumes drags down the atmosphere
Forwarder from United States
Inflation is a result of overheated economic activity. Global economic activity is moderating to normal levels and should not be mistaken for weakness.
Forwarder from Germany
Climate is slightly pessimistic as domestic volumes are down by 20%. It is unsure whether this is still summer break vor already economically driven
Forwarder from Australia
Rates are somehow stable, still dealing with a lot of delays and interruptions. Rates are only valid for short time which adds a lot of admin work.
Forwarder from Japan
Our industry is effected by situation of global economics and carrier on basis of world economy. Recently I feel cloud start to appearing.
Forwarder from Germany
Transit opportunities growing. Unfortunately capacity of our borders is not enough for increased volumes. But government is working on it
Forwarder from United States
Specifically, all main USEC ports are still congested (NY is a disaster) and the TPEB trade is slowing down (maybe a sign of recession?)
Forwarder from Ecuador
Although we are facing political instability, countrywide we are expecting a surge in the mining industry and energy sectors as well.
Carrier from Spain
Basically, cost of energy, and price growth will affect consumers. So, there will be less production, and less goods to transport.
Transport Client from Spain
I rather being optimistics but the situation is expected to be a bit difficult so, right now im just waiting for what Will come
Transport Client from Italy
THE COST OF ENERGY FOR MANUFACTURING COMPANIES AND THE DECREASE IN DEMAND WILL LIKELY LEAD TO A DECLINE IN TURNOVER AND ORDERS
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Always optimistic, regardless of the situation. Things are tight but as a small forwarder we can sell ourselves through this.
Forwarder from Serbia
Normal climate, but with more attention and monitoring global/local industry trends. Prepared action plans in case of crisis.
Forwarder from Germany
Early indicators such as the Chemical and the Automotive Industry are advising that business will be reduced in Q3 and Q4.
Forwarder from Romania
There is a lack of capacity and the request/offer balance is pushing the prices up, regardless of the constant fuel price
Forwarder from Bangladesh
Because due to aftermath of pandemic & current war impact on global economy. Buyers are reduce their buying at least 30%.
Forwarder from South Africa
Whilst there has been an improvement and softening of ocean freight rates the market it still quite unsettled and unsure
Forwarder from France
Volumes are dropping on both sides, export and import , stocks level are high, and inflation are disturbing the demand.
Forwarder from Costa Rica
Freight charges are falling still bookings from fat east and empty equipment for export are much easier to be obtained.
Transport Client from Netherlands
The uncertainty still prevails,the energy crisis and everything that is connected to it due to the War in Ukraine etc.
Forwarder from United Arab Emirates
Middle East and Africa is seeing growth and investments so it’s above normal and medium optimistic market for 2023
Forwarder from Germany
B2C shipments will decrease. There is still not enough capacity on the market connected with high freight level.
Forwarder from Germany
It seems that the industry considers to be slightly pessimistic based on geo-political and other risk factors.
Forwarder from United States
Economic concerns aside, we've built a culture, brand and sales engine that will continue to grow and thrive.
Forwarder from Mexico
Based on the latest changes with the US / China conflicts, a lot of new opportunities are coming into Mexico.
Forwarder from United States
For some industries qt4 will be weaker than previous although we should expect a turn in volume prior to cny.
Forwarder from Germany
Volume is very volatile. Customers are not able to produce the way they want due to missing raw materials.
Forwarder from Switzerland
demand still strong in Q4, freight pricing in decline, especially in sea, less in air, limited in road
Forwarder from Germany
Pandemic, Geopolitical Situation. Global Port Congestion, lower Consumer Demand are the main driver
Transport Client from Spain
We see a volume decrease in the last months compared to previous ones and especially against 2021
Forwarder from Mexico
Ocean rates only fm china are under levels , same before the COVID The economical it’s depress
Transport Client from Finland
Rough market in general, but it seems that price fluctuations can also be taken advantage of.
Carrier from Italy
still very critical world situation , Russia/Ucraine in war , cost of utilities at huge level
Forwarder from Germany
Rising inflation, energy crisis and other topics will lead to permanent issues in the market
Forwarder from Ethiopia
Because , shortage of foreign currency and conflict in the area make the business very slow
Forwarder from India
I foresee more Exports with the increased demands and it should boost the trade together.
Transport Client from Italy
Gas electricity prices increase, government instability, lach in transport and manpower
Forwarder from Netherlands
still optimistic, however with a lower/more pessimistic for the first 6 months of 2023
Forwarder from Netherlands
Some importors & Exportors are still maiting on better times for the Freight charges.
Forwarder from Italy
End August I noted a 22 pct increase on our turnover compared to end August last year
Forwarder from Cameroon
Le marché est assez instable, bloqué par des contraintes de change très sélectives.
Forwarder from Brazil
GDP forecast on growing side, inflation decrease and abroad investments increase.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Changing customs procedures ( Chief to CDS ) Industrial actions Increasing costs
Forwarder from Turkey
Since the global economy is slow going, expecatation of volume and rate is low
Carrier from Netherlands
Looking at all the economic indicators, a recession seems to be unavoidable.
Carrier from United States
The cost of oil and falling demand are creating major concerns with clients
Forwarder from Germany
Rates dropping at a speed like no other time before. New orders not needed.
Transport Client from Netherlands
Energy crisis Co2 reduction measures makes the climate currently unstable
Transport Client from France
Facing high inflation and cost of energy. Lack of electronical components
Transport Client from Switzerland
The order books are full, the only challenge is to get raw materials.
Carrier from Italy
A mix of costs, missing of drivers and trucks felt me not so positive
Transport Client from Switzerland
Slightly pessimistic considering better result than rest of Europe.
Forwarder from Austria
The 4th quarter might still be fine but 2023 will be a challenge...
Forwarder from Poland
We are rather normal. More of us got used to current situation.
Carrier from Germany
The leasing biz. is increasing and logistics are decreasing
Forwarder from Denmark
Rates dropping fast and less volume due to full warehouses
Forwarder from Indonesia
Very low production demand followed by low consumer demand
Carrier from Spain
A recesion is coming and we are not prepared to combat it
Forwarder from India
The biz volume has reduced, and still movements are there
Carrier from Croatia
Currently we have a high demand at higher freight rates.
Forwarder from Ireland
Believe there will be no major change before end of year
Forwarder from Hong Kong
Global recession and high interest rate plus Ukraine War
Forwarder from Slovakia
The volume will be still high due to Christmas markets.
Carrier from Ireland
Rising input costs are a concern, with no end in sight.
Forwarder from Czech Republic
Declining demand and the likely coming economic crisis
Forwarder from Germany
Driver Shortage, Energy Crisis, Stupid EU Regulations
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Live entertainment sector has lots of pent up demand
Carrier from Netherlands
volatile market. difficult to make concrete forecast
Forwarder from Serbia
expect significant decline of volume in 4th quarter
Forwarder from United States
Margin erosion but otherwise business is stable
Forwarder from Germany
Recession / high inflation will have impacts
Transport Client from Indonesia
Nice prospect at least for 10 years to come
Carrier from Netherlands
More balancing of the capacity and rates.
Transport Client from United Kingdom
The Automotive down turn is not a helping
Carrier from Spain
Fear for inflation and recession coming
Forwarder from Germany
Recession“, oil gas crisis, inflation,
Forwarder from Switzerland
recession impacts will be seen soon
Forwarder from India
Import and export is much subdued.
Forwarder from Denmark
Lowest consumer trust in 40 years
Forwarder from Ireland
Don't see any sudden changes
Forwarder from Malaysia
Export volume slowing down
Forwarder from Mexico
Rates are the question
Forwarder from Germany
Less orders

What volume development do you expect for the 4th quarter 2022 compared to the current quarter?

Options Responses % Responses #
Less than -20% 3.13 % 8
Between -10% and -20% 18.36 % 47
Between -5% and -10% 14.45 % 37
Between -2% and -5% 7.81 % 20
Between 0% and -2% 7.42 % 19
Between 0% and 2% 10.94 % 28
Between +2% and +5% 11.33 % 29
Between +5% and +10% 12.50 % 32
Between +10% and +20% 9.38 % 24
More than +20% 4.69 % 12
Total 256
Answer Statements
Forwarder from Switzerland
esp. exports out of EU, they now need to produce what they can as the overall fear is that production will be reduced or even stopped due to Governmental gas/electricity consumption reduction programs. Esp German industry will be hurt. Asia we expect also reduction caused by Governmental actions (COVID) but also environmental/natural disasters which seem to be seen more and more. Buying behavior as part of inflation and even recession also effect esp. on electronics and furniture industry
Forwarder from Poland
- transport morski - ognraniczą wolumeny - import z CN i krajów azjatyckich kurczy się i jest bardzo nie stabilny - importerzy zastokowali się na wysokim poziomie w Q1 i Q2 - co powoduje mniejsze zapotrzebowanie na transport. - Transport drobnicowy - szalejące ceny paliw, kredytów - w znacznym stopniu ograniczyły możliwość zakupową klienta ostatecznego - zmniejsza ilości zamawianych przesyłek zarówno w tradycyjnej drobnicy jak i e-comersowej.
Forwarder from India
Q4 is always slightly sluggish due to cargoes leaving India bound to EU / USA arriving after Thanksgiving and in the run up into the year holiday season. having said this additional Lines of business, including Project Cargoes, Vertical industry Market segments such as Pharmaceuticals, Oil & Gas are compensatory factors to stem a growth of anything between 5% to 10% despite a somewhat global recession and depleted demand.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
At this stage we must consolidate and maintain - customers are not switching provider easily or without significant incentive therefore we must focus on service delivery of existing clients while targeting the SME market to obtain volume - the net effect of this activity is optimistically going to be neutral coming through Q4 without an exceptional and unexpected set of gains
Forwarder from United States
The 3rd quarter is already showing weakness. Though I expect 4th quarter to show weakness, carriers are initiating blank sailings that may stabilize rates. Though rates are almost to pre-pandemic levels. Vessels are arriving with 75% to 80% utilization. The 4th quarter will depend upon carriers holding the levels through the implementation of blank sailings.
Forwarder from Poland
Increasing inflation - changing the behavior of the end customer - reduces orders. Which directly / or indirectly translates into a decrease in both domestic and international volumes. In particular, a decrease in the volume of imports is noticeable - the justification for this is - a high EUR exchange rate.
Forwarder from Germany
The demand side has been quite weak last quarter, therefore the outlook is better. Although market influencing circumstances (inflation, low consumption, high energy costs, structural production obstacles, eg. driver shortage) are very negative, there might be a strong demand including some backlog
Forwarder from Switzerland
Buyers behavior based on all negative news like recession so less stock, whereas warehouses are also pretty full. companies become careful of overstock. US still stronger than EU, due to less RU/USA impact, but also here companies become more cautious. ( furniture, electronics his most)
Forwarder from Qatar
Market has generally slowed down and Q4 will not bring a general improvement as many projects are put on hold due to FIFA World Cup in Qatar. There most likely be reduced working hours during the period of World cup and therefore additional negative effect on business.
Forwarder from Ukraine
Growth indicated is minimum expected in local currency (UAH). Road market is growing, some freightforwarders seized their operations, air and sea operations switched to european ports, road transportation is in high demand.
Forwarder from Serbia
Per info from automotive companies 1st tier, orders are at top level and they do not expect that this trend will stop till end of year. As automotive is 30% transport share in Serbia, this will have impact also to others.
Forwarder from United States
Noticed that were not getting the bookings we did first and second quarter really slowing down in September heading into October. Companies have too much inventory and global recession and USA inflation hurting market.
Forwarder from Spain
In our sector (Road Europe) the 3rd quarter has a part of the holiday period, and this helps to have a better 4th quarter. But if we compare with the same period last year, the forecast is for a loss of 10%
Transport Client from Sri Lanka
Overall exports have grown and it will continue to do so. However in order to mange the currency depreciation imports have severe restrictions during the last six months and will continue..
Forwarder from Nigeria
My sector is the Maritime service sector with low maritime services at the moment. Shipping orders are bound to increase in the later quarter of the year thus resulting in more orders.
Forwarder from Chile
A lot of Chilean companies bought their inventory on the first semester of the year, so they have their warehouses full and trying to get ou of that merchandise before buy new one.
Forwarder from Mexico
We still handling good detained orders volumes due to covid impasse, customers are growing production capacity and leaving WH and inventory stacking to 3PL.
Carrier from Croatia
As Croatia's primary industry is tourism, we expect a decrease in transport demand on our market and our shift to markets of Slovenia, Austria and Germany
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Whilst we expect new business, revenue will be in decline due to market slump. Volume may decline due to economic dip and over-stocking from Q2 & Q3.
Forwarder from United States
Believe due to inflationary pressure and overextended warehouse inventory levels and downgraded retailer forecasts demand will remain depressed.
Carrier from Spain
Q4 is always busier vs Q3. Better to compare vs Q4 last year. I expect versus Q4 last year a decline between -5/-10 percent, see next question
Forwarder from United States
Industry vital commodities such as aluminum , plastic, paper is in high demand due to early year severe shortage brought on due to lockdowns.
Forwarder from Cameroon
Ce semblant d'optimisme est relatif, et peut s'expliqué par la venu des fêtes de fin d'années qui en générales attirent beaucoup d'achats.
Forwarder from Singapore
With the China Golden week long holidays in Oct and coming Christmas in Dec, doubtful there will be any strong year end peak this year.
Forwarder from Canada
The consumer retail industry is seeing dramatic declines in volumes, but other industry sectors are not being as negatively affected.
Forwarder from United States
We are expanding our capabilities and offerings, and proactive in new markets. Diverse and open to new, non traditional verticals.
Forwarder from Switzerland
Q4 is usually very strong, however with inflation and cautious spending this Q4 might be slightly muted, albeit still an increase
Forwarder from France
for 2022 volume will remain stable, as end of the year is always a good trend for the export. on the import we have huge drop
Forwarder from India
Holiday season and low demand coupled with high oil prices and geopolitical situation being not ideal i see a drop in demand.
Forwarder from India
As per Trade trend Q4 is always lower than that of Q3 every year. However I foresee there is surge in demands for Exports.
Transport Client from Italy
People back from holidays will be affected by increase of fast moving goods on the market. Mainly kinds of first necessity
Forwarder from United States
Our US domestic forwarding business is very strong. Ocean volume has decreased which will result in limited growth in Q4.
Forwarder from Turkey
4th quarter is almost the busiest one. We expect %25 growth in export and import will follow with around %5 increase .
Forwarder from Spain
Our customers have usually a 30 market share. I doubt that they will be achieving this, but nevertheless expect growth
Forwarder from United States
The volume drop will not as challenging as the drop in margins, which opens a huge productivity gap for most FF
Forwarder from United States
With many large companies down, though we are growing with new business, volume is down and will continue in Q4
Forwarder from Iraq
We have a newly established firm with senior staff as a result we expect 20% development in the fourth quarter.
Forwarder from Malaysia
Continue to shrink due to overinventory / overstock, and high inflation in buying countries, such as US and EU
Forwarder from United States
Volumes are up 20% we expect to see the same, peak season may not be seen how we would normally experience it
Forwarder from United Arab Emirates
Major markets are down trending due to strikes , congestion and overstocks so expect a -egrowth in Q4
Forwarder from Turkey
Historically when the interest and commodity price levels decreases volume is decreasing aswell
Forwarder from Ecuador
We are a project cargo specialist, and foresee substantial involvement towards 4th quarter.
Carrier from Netherlands
looking at the capacity requests we estimate the business to be stable till end of the year
Forwarder from Germany
Even though FEWB biz is declining I personally do see growth opportunities on other lanes
Forwarder from Denmark
Most shippers has overstocked warehouses and is cancelling orders from material suppliers
Carrier from Ireland
We operate specialist equipment which are booked in advance until the end of the year.
Forwarder from South Africa
We expect to see similar volumes as the previous quarter no traditional peak season
Forwarder from Germany
Consumer saving money, no peaks regarding gardening season, fully loaded warehouses
Forwarder from Bangladesh
Our country/producers doing basic item of retail & fashion so impacted not much.
Forwarder from United States
File count going up due to new business importers’ order book have slowed down
Forwarder from Denmark
Slightly lower in rest 2022 but much lower in q1 2023 up to 30 to 40 percent
Forwarder from Germany
Really challenging to say. Nobody is currently ready to be open on that.
Forwarder from Czech Republic
global supply chain disruption financial factors - recession, inflation
Carrier from Spain
I am not sure about my answer, but we can see right now the first signs
Forwarder from Austria
Air will slightly increase, Ocean be stable and overall minor growth...
Forwarder from Germany
Traditionally, 4th Quarter to be stronger than 3rd Quarter in my area
Forwarder from Czech Republic
Rated for seafreight , airfreight range expected between -2% and -5%
Forwarder from Germany
Customers are importing less due to less demand and increase of price
Carrier from Italy
We are expanding our capabilities. We will grow more than the market
Forwarder from United States
New company and still in the growth curve... gaining market share.
Transport Client from United Kingdom
We have budgeted for a flat year next year with next to no growth
Forwarder from Germany
Volume is already down YoY by 5%. Likely the trend will continue
Forwarder from Netherlands
it is going step by step a little bit up ... in the positive way
Forwarder from United Kingdom
As above demand dropping in key sectors, capacity being removed
Forwarder from Indonesia
Peak season will be silent if we could at all name it as peak
Forwarder from Philippines
We are seeing higher grow this Q4 due to increased spending.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Still catching up from Covid backlog and Industrial action
Forwarder from Germany
Probably volumes will recover but not to pre-summer level
Forwarder from Hong Kong
Most MNCs customers have reduced their forecast by 50%
Forwarder from Brazil
Imports side quite same level 2021, exports growing 7%
Forwarder from Serbia
This prediction is unless war takes much wider scale.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Focus on sales effort should see us continue to grow
Transport Client from Switzerland
Volumen increase driven from other regions like US
Forwarder from Austria
As raw material for production is not available
Transport Client from France
No clear vision from our customers for Q4 2022.
Forwarder from Germany
Less orders due to higher Costs - less consum
Forwarder from Japan
Air volume start to decrease than last year.
Carrier from United States
We are currently seeing this downward trend
Forwarder from Australia
More projects are now coming back online.
Forwarder from Costa Rica
More space and empty equipment available.
Carrier from Netherlands
The market seems to cooling of somewhat.
Transport Client from Finland
I do not know this answer very well
Forwarder from Germany
A slight uptick for peak season
Forwarder from Sweden
We see a softer market for Q4
Forwarder from United Kingdom
This is from a very low base
Forwarder from Mexico
Because the peak
Forwarder from Germany
Less demand
Forwarder from Mexico
NA
Transport Client from Spain
.
Forwarder from Germany
.

What volume development do you expect for the 4th quarter 2022 compared to the 4th quarter in 2021?

Options Responses % Responses #
Less than -20% 10.59 % 27
Between -10% and -20% 14.90 % 38
Between -5% and -10% 14.90 % 38
Between -2% and -5% 9.41 % 24
Between 0% and -2% 7.45 % 19
Between 0% and 2% 7.84 % 20
Between +2% and +5% 9.80 % 25
Between +5% and +10% 10.59 % 27
Between +10% and +20% 7.06 % 18
More than +20% 7.45 % 19
Total 255
Answer Statements
Forwarder from United Kingdom
YoY has continued to be strong by comparison with the restrictive nature of COVID measures reducing but we continue to see hesitancy across the market as other variables play there part - I expect growth YoY to continue but I am being conservative as to avoid overstretching limited capacity or eroding net revenues through promotional incentives for customers
Forwarder from United States
Last 4th quarter the container industry was still in the middle (or tail end) of a two-year surge due to COVID. Now that COVID is over in the U.S. people are finding they have no need to buy more furniture, office equipment, home decoration and even automobiles. Volumes will be on the decline.
Forwarder from India
Organization is consistently developing and focusing new Lines of Business including Project Cargoes, Warehousing and distribution to support requirements of international and domestic freight. Empasis on Vertical Industry markets including Pharmaceuticals, Oil & gas, Chemicals and Energy
Forwarder from Germany
It is clear that there is less volume in the market but personally, I have not seen a direct impact yet. However, customers shared some order books are not full anymore and China shared that less freight is in the market
Forwarder from Spain
Unfortunately, I can only argue with certain general indicators (inflation, news, stock market movements, ...) but I have no data to substantiate it, it's more of an impression than a conclusion.
Forwarder from Hong Kong
2021 is an extreme in response to the extra-ordinary market and 2022 is back to the track but happen to facing global recession and others factors which the general market slump
Carrier from Croatia
As high stocks have been built up and there is a huge demand for additional warehousing space in our region, we expect a slight decrease in transported volumes.
Forwarder from United States
Way down economy in USA and worldwide making consumers and Business nervous. Would not be surprised by large layoffs in out industry starting in October
Forwarder from Mexico
Due to a good market segmentation, we expect a sustainable growth in volume, health care and mass retail customers keep volumes and growth.
Carrier from Netherlands
Market volumes seem to slightly higher compared to same period last year. A moderate decrease during november and december is expected.
Forwarder from Canada
The consumer retail industry is seeing dramatic declines in volumes, but other industry sectors are not being as negatively affected.
Forwarder from Indonesia
Sea freight stabilized and almost on a level pre-Covid so all volumes which shifted to Air are now back to original mode of transport
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Supply chains have changed in the wake of the pandemic. Certain lanes have disappeared , but certain new lanes have been created.
Forwarder from United States
2021 revenue around $346M. Tracking $490M in 2022. Primarily due to bringing on new clients and growth in domestic volume
Carrier from Spain
Q42021 was a post-pandemic period with high purchasing power and rising prices. Q42022 will be the opposite situation
Forwarder from India
I foresee there is surge in demands for Exports from India will boost overall growth of the Trade.
Forwarder from Brazil
Election year, some decisions will be take in 2023. High interest tax cold people buying power
Forwarder from United Kingdom
We expect Ocean and Air import to reduce and conversely, Ocean and Air export to increase vLY.
Forwarder from India
Same as above and Freight rate have also dropped sharply leading to lower margin per shipment.
Forwarder from United States
2021 Q4 remained strong but we are seeing a clear shift to more normalized levels in Q4 2022.
Forwarder from Nigeria
The current recovery from the COVID 19 pandemic at the global level is the reason .
Carrier from Ireland
Covid is well & truly behind us, our clients are looking to make up for lost time!
Forwarder from Philippines
We are expecting 7-8% 2022 figures compared to 2021 in terms of quarter GDP grow.
Forwarder from Bangladesh
Our country/producers doing basic item of retail & fashion so impacted not much.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Q4 last year was massive for us. If we can stay close to that will be happy.
Forwarder from Germany
huge increases in transport cost and lower demand are driving this trend
Forwarder from Turkey
It is more than %20 because we purchased a local forwarder in January .
Forwarder from United Arab Emirates
Global markets and key manufacturing geo’s are witnessing lesser demand
Forwarder from Germany
21 spending money, 22 saving money, only needed things are of interest
Forwarder from United States
About same as last year due to new business but tighter margins
Forwarder from United States
We are pressing hard in adding revenue at profitable margins
Forwarder from United States
Q4 was strong last year with cargo volumes being advanced
Transport Client from Finland
Same here, I still lack the understanding on this topic
Forwarder from Denmark
Forecast only slightly lower in q3 but worse in q4 2022
Forwarder from United States
We will see a softer 4qt but still healthy nonetheless
Forwarder from Costa Rica
More space and empty equipment available for bookings
Forwarder from Germany
At least currently not so much Influenza by COVID
Forwarder from Serbia
There is definitely less cargo than last year.
Forwarder from Switzerland
this Q4 is likely to be 5-10% less that LY Q4
Forwarder from Slovakia
Lat year was affected by covid restrictions.
Transport Client from Switzerland
2021 was hit by COVID measure in restaurant
Forwarder from France
comparaison is still on favor of 2022 data
Forwarder from Chile
Same answer than the previous one.
Forwarder from Cameroon
Même commentaire que ci dessus.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Coming from a very low base
Forwarder from Turkey
Slow down will start
Carrier from Netherlands
see last answer
Forwarder from United States
New company...
Forwarder from Czech Republic
same as above
Forwarder from Poland
jak wyżej
Forwarder from United Kingdom
As above
Forwarder from Mexico
NA
Transport Client from Spain
.

Please state the TOP 3 risks for supply chains you see in the 4th quarter of 2022.

Answer Statements
Forwarder from India
Disruption in Vessel Schedules /Port Congestion / Berthing delays have a direct relationship with freight rates due to a reduction in Supply (Space) . Freight rates on certain east/west trade lanes are holding up due to this despite a depleted demand. Blank sailings by carrier in trying to deal with demand & supply. This will compound schedule disruptions, altering the demand side (cargo throughput) in a given week creating sinusoidal freight increase/decrease, which is undesirable. From a forwarders perspective it erodes profitability and from a customer's perspective destabilizes the power to negotiate forward rate contracts with carriers. Geo-Political Scenario- This could hamper demand in Europe and an overall reduction in volume of business. a reduction in CAPEX expenses/investments within neighboring countries to Russia and Ukraine is already being witnessed. Top 3 Risks: Blank sailings by carrier in trying to deal with demand & supply, Geo-Political scenario with the Russia -Ukraine war with o light at the end of the tunnel, Disruption in Vessel Schedules /Port Congestion / Berthing delays
Forwarder from United States
The ILWU negotiations are quiet but not going as well as people think. It is possible that we may experience a strike after the elections if the negotiations do not come to a conclusion before November. In the meantime, there will be continued backlog at inland terminals unless carriers minimize the acceptance of IPI booking. If they minimize IPI bookings, containers will back up in west coast ports adding to congestion once again. If they do not minimize IPI bookings, then rail destinations will be short of chassis and back up containers at ports anyway. Many companies have already diverted containers to east coast ports. It could get worse. It could be a lose-lose situation. Top 3 Risks: Congestion at east coast ports becoming worse as ILWU workers strike or create a slowdown, Continued Rail Congestion at Inland Ramps backing up containers at ports, ILWU negotiations fail
Forwarder from Ukraine
1. War with russia continues. Some regions are still occupied. People leave Ukraine, homes and production facilities are ruined, some regions fully destroyed, people loose jobs. Some big companies and well-known brands suspended their operations due to security reasons. 2. Infrastructure can be ruined due to heavy shelling and rocket attacks which will make transportation even more difficult. 3. Economy is in difficult situation. Local currency (UAH) is devaluating. This year for already for around 21%. Consumer prices are raising. Difficult winter is expected. It all influences purchasing power of the population and demand/supply balance. Top 3 Risks: War, Ruining of the infrastructure, Economic reasons
Forwarder from United Kingdom
The continued war in Ukraine has the potential to further disrupt the global economy and harm international business. But I would just add that while we may all be largely concerned about coping with the triple whammy of the war, Brexit and Covid, the biggest pending threat to global supply chains is our very own invasion of the White Walkers (if you can excuse the Game of Thrones analogy!) And that is the Climate Change crisis, which has the potential to override all our worries. Maybe not in Q4, but unless we all act now, "Winter is Coming!" Top 3 Risks: Stikes, Exchange rates, War
Forwarder from Turkey
We have to adapt many changes in Türkiye . Inflation is %80 and costs are changing everyday . That also caused a staff crisis because new offers from other companies to our colleagues were almost with double of what they made today . So they left and we had to renew the team . And now we are aware of energy crisis in EU and we are trying to make a plan for it . Still I am not very negative , all crisis have opportunities in it . Top 3 Risks: Turn over rate for staff . %30 left within 2 months time and we had to recruit/train new people., Customers are not royal and they can easily chnage carrier even if there is a long term agreement ., Energy crisis - lack of import shipments to Türkiye
Forwarder from United Kingdom
With continued sanctions are RU airspace the narrowed corridors are not only limiting capacity but extending transit times and forcing volume through the same routes and transit points further frustrating the TAT. Also with OCEAN freight softening it is becoming a more attractive option to a larger audience therefore further stripping opportunities from the open market as mode switch becomes a genuine alternative Top 3 Risks: Cost of living, Limited capacity and transit point constraints, General uncertainty of the geopolitical landscape
Forwarder from Germany
I think the main risk is war. Not only the current one in the Ukraine but also the "conflict" we do see in Taiwan where China and also the USA are not giving in in regards to their positions. Furthermore I'm afraid of a potential negative result of the military maneuver to take place in Eastern Russia with the participation of China and India. Top 3 Risks: War, Service reliability
Forwarder from Poland
- no predictability of transport rates - lack of skilled workers available on the labor market - increased volumes in railway and sea terminals - through import, e.g. from the AU - extended transport time - congesia - High transport cost in relation to Port PL - destination - no drivers - fuel cost Top 3 Risks: No predictability of transport rates, High transport cost in relation to Port PL - destination - no drivers - fuel cost, Lack of skilled workers available on the labor market - increased volumes in railway and sea terminals - through import, e.g. from the AU - extended transport time - congesia
Forwarder from Cameroon
Les armateurs augmentent sans cesse les rates, indiquent sans cesse que les navires sont pleins, et les délais de transbordement durent de plus en plus. tout ce ci rend instable les transports et accroissent les risques de perte de d'opportunités d'affaires. Top 3 Risks: Instabilité des transit times, Rareté des espaces navires, élévation des prix
Forwarder from France
inflation on EUrope countries especially in Germany disturb forecast and demande. Bullwhip effect due to the covid situation, due to the congestion in the ocean, air and road transportation and the decrese of the demande impact the stock levels . Top 3 Risks: Inflation, Stock level, Congestion
Forwarder from United States
The overextended warehouse/inventory situation is tying up chassis and containers alike creating a real bottleneck. Without a strong blank sailing program to correct the oversupply of capacity rates will continue to drop. Top 3 Risks: Increasing congestion at inland points (rail ramps), Rapid rate level decline without action, Chassis shortages at inland points (rail ramps)
Forwarder from United States
Example - we now applaud the number of (reduced) vessels at the ports, but are still excessive and causing chaos, but we think having 200 vessels at US ports at anchor is better than 400; what's the plan to get to zero? Top 3 Risks: Global infrastructure of ocean ports and airports, Recession is real and no real plans to fix it (other than throw more money into a saturated system), Inflation is driving greater scrutiny for controlling costs
Forwarder from Qatar
Q4 will be effected by the world cup in Qatar. Many roads will be closed, car / truck movement limited, limited working hours to ease traffic. Many people will also travel outside of country during the tournament. Top 3 Risks: Road closures, Working time, Work force
Forwarder from Switzerland
Vessel taken out of business ( to keep supply and demand on level), Planes taken out of schedule (see BA and KLM but also airports limitations); Ports and Landside services shortcomings in staff and equipment. Top 3 Risks: Infra-structure issues, Economic: inflation/recession, Energy crises (esp in EU)
Forwarder from Spain
I think it is one of the periods of the last decades that has brought together more destabilizing factors at the same time, and it is difficult to put them in order of importance... Top 3 Risks: Decompensation of goods flows, Decompensation of goods flows, Exponential increase in the costs of raw materials and energy
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Ocean carrier performance is so bad it is virtually impossible to plan properly for time critical events. Global recession is self explanatory Covid mark 2 is self explanatory Top 3 Risks: Ocean carrier performance, Global recession, Covid mark 2
Forwarder from United States
High costs have squeezed BCO margins. Carrying inventory at costs higher than the slower economy will depress consumption until the market reaches equilibrium. Top 3 Risks: Financial impact of high operating costs of the supply chain disruption surge, Carriers - focusing in on conservative controls by pulling back capacity and other inward focused measures instead of customers, Mental - conceding too early when trends haven't been established
Carrier from Spain
Inflation and price increases leading to recession and less demand. But certain aspects could stay such as the high prices for energy and the shortage of labour Top 3 Risks: Global recession/reduced demand, High energy prices will remain, Labour shortage continuing
Forwarder from United States
Lockdowns impact the chain tremendously and it is still a reality 2 years into the pandemic since covid and china's Intolerance don't go well together. Top 3 Risks: Lockdowns due to pandemic, Inflation, Strike threats
Forwarder from United States
As companies control buying volumes are down. As rates fall so rapidly on the TPEB, margins will fall. Continued rail issues with congestion Top 3 Risks: Continued rail issues, Margin loss, Volume reductions
Forwarder from Germany
War on Ukraine is bringing more uncertainty than before. Missing materials stop production in some industries as well as missing personnel Top 3 Risks: War in Ukraine, Missing production materials, Lack of qualified personnel
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Switch to from Chief to CDS ( this has not been properly stress tested ) Strike actions in ports and blue collar labour disputes Top 3 Risks: Customs procedures in UK, Industrial actions, Increased labour and operational costs
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Coronavirus and the reaction to a winter uptick in infection, particularly in China, needs consideration. Top 3 Risks: Cargo capacity constraints, Reneging of contracts, perpetuating market volatility, Labour shortage if complexity increases again
Forwarder from Australia
With the shortage of labour, costs will increase even further and transit time will be out of schedule. Top 3 Risks: Fuel prices, Transit time, Shortage of labour around the world
Forwarder from Nigeria
The above risks are minimal. The overall sector will still progress and make profits despite risks. Top 3 Risks: Low Supply chain logistics responsiveness resulting from poor port to city connectivity., Financial risks resulting from devalued Nigerian Naira., Security still show up as challenges especially at road transport lvel as experienced by some truckoperators.
Transport Client from Italy
Italy suffers of political instability and exonomic stagnation. Unemployment rate increase Top 3 Risks: Consumptions, Energy costs, Fuel costs
Transport Client from Switzerland
In the last 9 month 2 Global Logistics Service Provider in our Portfolio were effected Top 3 Risks: Increasing Energy Costs, Procurement of Raw Materials to produce Make to order products, IT Cyber Attacks
Forwarder from Philippines
Inflationary pressures is the biggest local issue as this weakens spending power. Top 3 Risks: Inflationary pressures, Fuel, Weaker local currency
Forwarder from Denmark
War and higher fuel cost and lack of memory cards and components for trucks Top 3 Risks: Leas trucks, High fuel prices, Less truck drivers
Forwarder from United States
Service has been king the last few years. How long does it last? Top 3 Risks: Rates on Ocean creating an old commoditized environment, Margin deterioration, Overall economic impact
Forwarder from Brazil
As FF, shipping lines policy will define our chances of success Top 3 Risks: Low demand, High rates, Blank sailing to keep high rates
Forwarder from India
Above top 3 risks play vital role in the supply chain overall. Top 3 Risks: Carriers unreliability, Pricing variation, Environmental instability across globe
Transport Client from Sri Lanka
We have improved from what it was 03 months ago. Top 3 Risks: Power interruptions, Increase in transportation prices, Limited fuel in flow within the country
Forwarder from United Arab Emirates
Will witness more blank sailings Top 3 Risks: Strikes, Congestion, Blank sailings
Forwarder from India
As detailed earlier. Top 3 Risks: Geopolitical situation, Oil prices, Low demand
Forwarder from Canada
Self explanatory Top 3 Risks: Severe weather issues, Strikes at destination ports, rails, truckers., Another outbreak or variant closing origin ports.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Low confidence Top 3 Risks: Uncertainty, Capacity, Demand
Forwarder from Costa Rica
None Top 3 Risks: Lockdown amplified in China, Covid19 lockdowns elsewhere, Increase of fuel costs
Transport Client from Spain
. Top 3 Risks: Aumento de precios, Incertidumbre, Estanflación
Carrier from Croatia
Top 3 Risks: Production increase due to high energy prices, Fuel and gas costs increase, Raw commodities price instability
Carrier from Denmark
Top 3 Risks: Less final demand, More capacity (less congestion), Contract breaches, Energy cost, Lack of drivers, Inflation
Carrier from Ecuador
Top 3 Risks: Capacity restrains, China lockdowns and restrictions//War at Europe, Economic recession
Carrier from Germany
Top 3 Risks: Sanctions, Conflict with Russia, Missing trust into valid supply chains, Order cancellations, Renegotiations, New outbreak
Carrier from Ireland
Top 3 Risks: Recession trigger by the invasion of Ukraine., Rising input costs., Availability of suitability qualified personnel., Safety concerns in more regions across the world, The cost increases (variable and overhead), Geopolitical disruptions
Carrier from Italy
Top 3 Risks: Decrease of volumes due to almost recession situation in Italy, Costs that continue to rise, Government changes due to new election, Lack of professional workers, Additional cost increases, Unreliable providers, Less money for the people…., Delay in production due the lack of raw material, Cost of diesel/gnl, Energy cost will continue to increase, Small and medium enterprise obliged to shut down their activities
Carrier from Lithuania
Top 3 Risks: Energy price/fuel price on the market could change the capacities and regular routes. Contract terminations with movemnt on SPOT basis., Lack of truck drivers on the market, Russian aggression in Ukraine.
Carrier from Malaysia
Top 3 Risks: Currency devaluation, Inflation, Demand, Sector wise competition, More capacity than demand, Rate
Carrier from Mozambique
Top 3 Risks: Ports congestion, Increase of logistics costs
Carrier from Netherlands
Top 3 Risks: Reduced customer demand, Increased energy, rent and labour costs, Shortage warehousing space and staff, Capacity, Labour, Covid, Lack of components, Inflation, Fuel availability, Fuel availability, Energy costs, Lack of components
Carrier from Pakistan
Top 3 Risks: Low business, Price Unstablity, Space issue
Carrier from Panama
Top 3 Risks: Demand drop, Macro economic risks and recession, Strikes as inflation pressures workers earnings
Carrier from Romania
Top 3 Risks: Overall cost increases, Overall volume decrease, Aggressive driver recruitment (driving costs + creating truck standstill), Lack of employees, High wages, Overstocking
Carrier from Serbia
Top 3 Risks: Finding workers, Law regulative, Oil prices
Carrier from Singapore
Top 3 Risks: Labor Disputes, Surplus of capacity, Congestion
Carrier from Spain
Top 3 Risks: Energy cost, Overstocked shippers, Lack of whs space, Lack of drivers and trucks, Fuel price, War at Ukraine, NO TRUCKS & DRIVERS, TAXES, INFLACTION, Energy crisis, Less cross border transport capacity, Low demand with a high stocks
Carrier from Turkey
Top 3 Risks: Health, new pandemic issue., Inflation, deflation, stagfilation, War crisis.
Carrier from United States
Top 3 Risks: Port disruptions, Inflation, War in ukraine, Lack of equipment, Port congestion, Rail delays
Forwarder from Austria
Top 3 Risks: Blank sailing, Drastic rate decrease, Renewed Covid impact China, Higher costs for gas, infrastructure, Still unreliable and unbalanced capacity, Reduced order books for the future, Not enough engery available, Driver bottleneck, Fuel costs
Forwarder from Azerbaijan
Top 3 Risks: Lack of enough storage facilities, Military situation with Russia and Ukraine, Climate, War in the region, Lack of trucks/ containers, Prices increase, Geopolitical risks, Ukraine - Russia war, Critical changes of the freight prices
Forwarder from Bangladesh
Top 3 Risks: Have to reduce fixed cost to sustain, Profit margin less, Vol drop, IMO ruling may force ships to upgrade compliances. As a result a capacity shortage., Excess inventory may run the risk of storage crunch, War in Ukrane, Low Air Freight Volumes, Blank Sailings, Equipment (Ocean Freight)
Forwarder from Belarus
Top 3 Risks: Economical crisis in Russia, Further disruption of old supply chains and active blocking of new, War
Forwarder from Belgium
Top 3 Risks: Strikes in ports or handling agents, Unreliable services from carriers, Collapse of rate structure
Forwarder from Bulgaria
Top 3 Risks: Low transport capacity, Logistics bottlenecks, Lack of clalified personnel, Sanctions, High costs - possible closing or bankrupcy of customers, Decreasing demand/volumes/ in ff services
Forwarder from Cameroon
Top 3 Risks: Lack of revenu due to reduced volumes will trigger increase of customs duties and might accelerate the reduction of volumes, Freight is high and products are getting too expensive for local markets which will lead to a stagnation or reduction of import volumes export volumes should not change as 90% are fruits, timber and crude oil and gas or similar products, Shipping lines trying to become integrators and buying forwarders
Forwarder from Chile
Top 3 Risks: Rising Energy Prices, Warehouse low availability from Inventory Excess, Loss of competitiveness for lack of investing
Forwarder from China
Top 3 Risks: Port omits, Blank sailings, Freight volatility
Forwarder from Costa Rica
Top 3 Risks: No empty equipment, Covid19 lockdowns, Poets in China and USA
Forwarder from Czech Republic
Top 3 Risks: Late delivery, High costs / energy, Extra supplies compared to lower consumption, Capacity outweighs demand, Lower demand, Ports congestion, Unclear world political situation, Economic situation, ., Lack of capacity, Lack of demant, Economic situation, Gas ane electricity crises, People will not willing to buy
Forwarder from Denmark
Top 3 Risks: Reduced profit pr file, Recession, Dropping volume, Rate development, Lack of service reliability (schedule reliability), Lack of skilled labour, Landside bottlenecks, Strike, Congestion, Gas and electricity restrictions in the manufacturing sector, No private consumption, Negative outlook in private and business in general, Dropping volumes, Energy crisis in Europe keep raising, Political distress to escalate, Fuel prices, War in Ukraine, High Inflation
Forwarder from Ecuador
Top 3 Risks: Russian invasion of Ukraine., Turmoil in the Taiwan strait., Fuel prices.
Forwarder from El Salvador
Top 3 Risks: Prices, Lack of equipment, Space / sales
Forwarder from Ethiopia
Top 3 Risks: High cost for transportation because of fuel price increases, Foreign currency shortage, Conflict
Forwarder from France
Top 3 Risks: Margin decline, Price competition, Less volume, Ukraine war, Fuel price increase, Nomber of driver reduction, Offer, Covid, Congestion
Forwarder from Germany
Top 3 Risks: Recession, Needed infrastructure, drivers etc., Inflation, Rates, Blank sailings, Requirement of goods restocking, Availability of raw materials, High energy prices, Equipment and driver shortage, Pandemic measures, Ressource issues, Geopolitical disruptions, Schedule reliability, Port Congestion, Equipment Availability, War continues, Inflation, Lack of qualified staff, Missing transport capacity, Increasing cost, Staff shortage, Inflation / Recesion, Ukraine Crisis -> Fuel / Embargo's, Driver Shortage, Driver Shortage, Energy Crisis, Long Waiting hours at the warehouses, Schedule reliability, Gongestion on borders, Lack of truck fleet, Port congestion, Equipment availability, Lack of sea space, Energy, Higher outstandings, Dropping transport costs, Dropping volumes, Inflation, Geopolitical Risks, Globl, Rate volatility, Capacity volatility, Staff shortage, Availability of raw materials, High energy prices, Availability of raw materials, Lack of drivers, Ports, Carriers limiting capacity, Cyber attacks, Fuel
Forwarder from Greece
Top 3 Risks: Energy costs skyrocketing, Labor shortages, Transport means shortage, Limited equipment, Infrastructure conditions, Increased energy prices
Forwarder from Hong Kong
Top 3 Risks: War, High interest rate, Recession
Forwarder from Hungary
Top 3 Risks: Panic in logistics markets, War in Ukraine, Economy crisis
Forwarder from India
Top 3 Risks: Customer shopping across companies, Volume drop, Volatility of freight
Forwarder from Indonesia
Top 3 Risks: Fuel costs, Airport strikes, Inflation
Forwarder from Iraq
Top 3 Risks: We think career options are getting reduced, Increament of volume to certain destinations will affect other destination, War threats look more serious in the fourth quarter
Forwarder from Ireland
Top 3 Risks: Labour shortage, Fuel costs, Port congestion, Fuel costs, Port congestion, Labour shortage
Forwarder from Italy
Top 3 Risks: Row material availability, Set vices disruption, Energy threats, Inflation, Energy cost, Capacity shortage, Decrease of Demand, New Covid restrictions, Over-reaction of carriers to decrease of demand, Lack of space on ships, Port congestion causing demurrages on chartering, Sudden increase of seafreight rates, Energy costs, War, Euro drop
Forwarder from Japan
Top 3 Risks: Shortage of human resource, Economic situation, War risk
Forwarder from Latvia
Top 3 Risks: EUR ecxhange rate, Political restrictions, Higher fuek prices
Forwarder from Luxembourg
Top 3 Risks: People (workforce), Volumes versus capacity, Covid 19 / shutdown / Quarantine
Forwarder from Malaysia
Top 3 Risks: Inflation, China Zero Covid Policy, Recession
Forwarder from Mexico
Top 3 Risks: West coast labor actions, Global recession, Russia / Ukraine escalation, Space issues, Rates volatility, Global conflicts in Ukraine and China-Taiwan, Weather or health issues, US Internal economy slowdown., FUEL COSTS, Geopolitical issues, Rates, Bottlenecks, Economic enviroment, Security, Country stability, Economical depression
Forwarder from Mozambique
Top 3 Risks: Weather, Infrastructure, Capacities
Forwarder from Netherlands
Top 3 Risks: Storage challenges in USA and NW Europe, Labor availability & cost, Impact of war in Ukraine : energy prices, Macro ecomonic developments : inflation - w'houses overstocked.., Inflation, Component shortages, The War
Forwarder from Peru
Top 3 Risks: The tremendous reduction of the Asia - Americas rates., The turnover of qualified personnel., The ambition of Maersk for increase their scope to reach all kind of services in the Supply Chain.
Forwarder from Poland
Top 3 Risks: Covid 19 and lockdown, Blackout, Ucrainian war, Demand drop, Raising rekord inflation, Energy crisis related to war in Ukraine, Unexpected economic political situation, Inflation, Fuel price, Reduction of consuption according to high cost of energy and live, High Energy cost will create high cost of production and finaly lack constomer which can buy the product, War escalation, Raw materials availability, Unstable market situation, Increase in production cost, Roadtaxes, War, Energy crises, Zerwanie łańcuchów dostaw - poprzez utrudnienia w portach przeznaczenia. brak przewoźników zarówno samochodowych jak i kolejowych., Cena paliwa, Brak powierzchni magazynowych w Polsce
Forwarder from Portugal
Top 3 Risks: Recession, Consumption reduction, Inflation
Forwarder from Romania
Top 3 Risks: Inflation, Manpower, Capacity, Shipping lines going more aggressively after the end customers, Pressure from customers to get lower and lower rates, Blank sailings
Forwarder from Serbia
Top 3 Risks: Less demand, Higher rates, Unstable worldwide situation, Global situtaion (ukraine, taiwan), Energy crisis, Work force availability, Recesion, Fuel price, Industry stop or decrease of activity caused by current crisis, Low demand, Liquidity problem with clients, Lower gross profit due to low transport rates
Forwarder from Singapore
Top 3 Risks: Full warehouses, Port congestions, Bad weather conditions, Full warehouses, Port congestions, Bad weather conditions, Economic depression, Ongoing Covid disruptions
Forwarder from Slovakia
Top 3 Risks: Drivers, Truck capacities, Cost increases
Forwarder from South Africa
Top 3 Risks: Price instabilities, Carrier instability, Continued port and labour problems
Forwarder from Spain
Top 3 Risks: Space, Rate, War, Recession, Blank sailings, Fuel prices, Truck capacity, Fuel prices, Unemployment, Rates for airfreight, Ukranie war, Inflation
Forwarder from Sweden
Top 3 Risks: Inflation in Europe, Softer market for consumer goods, Companies postponing investments
Forwarder from Switzerland
Top 3 Risks: Energy crisis, Cost (inflation) continued, Low consumption, Capacity (equipment, space, resources), Fuel (price and oil production), Congestion (ports, weather), Truck and truck driver shortages, Infrastructure issues (ports, etc), Recession, Energy crises (esp in EU) - impact on overall costs (production, transport), Economic: inflation/recession sales will slow down, Infra-structure issues: volatile how will covid develop over autumn/winter time - Gov actions?, Ukraine conflict, Energy pricing, Politics
Forwarder from Thailand
Top 3 Risks: Covid in China, War, Rates
Forwarder from Turkey
Top 3 Risks: Volume decrease on container transortation., Increase on national sales instead of Globally., Chip crisis for automotive industry., Ressesion, War Ukraine Russia and China Taiwan, Energy, Political risks, Supply & Demand imbalance, Economic recession
Forwarder from United Arab Emirates
Top 3 Risks: Port/airport congestion, Political and economical instability, Unstable fuel prices, Strikes and shutdowns on Base ports, The looming risk of Geo Political issues, Space Constraints
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Top 3 Risks: Strikes, Cost of living crisis, Global Economic slow down, Chinas threat to Vietnam., China lockdowns, Energy crisis, E-commerce demand dropping, Continued conflict, No peak
Forwarder from United States
Top 3 Risks: Disruption by geopolitical crisis, Inflation, Labour shortage, Pandemic shut downs, War, Economy, Congestion at main CY/RR, Rates will decrease... as volume is also decreasing, Blank sailings, Congestion at main CY/RR, Too much inventory, Low prices, No margins, Blank sailings, Rates will decrease... as volume is also decreasing, Raw material shortages + increased energy cost, Continued Port & Rail congestion, Port Strikes/Work Stoppages
Forwarder from Vietnam
Top 3 Risks: Market development, Blank sailings, Political situations
Forwarder from Zimbabwe
Top 3 Risks: Covid 19, Internet disruptions, High operational costs
Transport Client from Austria
Top 3 Risks: Energy prices, Inflation, Broken Supply chain
Transport Client from Belgium
Top 3 Risks: War, Lace of resources, Inflation
Transport Client from Bosnia and Herzegovina
Top 3 Risks: Increase of costs and prices in general, Global political situation, Labor shortage
Transport Client from Bulgaria
Top 3 Risks: Overstock if customer demands drop significantly, Raw materials supply, Risks connected with energy resources
Transport Client from Finland
Top 3 Risks: Carrier failures & financial issues, Service level instability, Price fluctuations
Transport Client from France
Top 3 Risks: Inflation and Energy costs, Prcourement from south east, Ukrainien war
Transport Client from Germany
Top 3 Risks: Lack of pre-produced parts, Risen cost, War, Beschaffungslogistik bricht ein, Käufe bleiben aus, Rezession, Reduction of production because of energy prices, Increasing prices, Not enough transport capacity because of missing employees, Lower volumes, after high start of year (panic out of UA -RU war), Not enough transportation/port capacity, Bullwhip out of COVID-19
Transport Client from Indonesia
Top 3 Risks: World war due to Ukraine and Rusia, New investment due to electric trend, Electric vehicle in transportation will changed the way to deliver
Transport Client from Italy
Top 3 Risks: POSSIBILITY OF NEW EXTENDED LOCK DOWN IN CHINA AND IN OTHER AREAS OF THE FAR EAST, COST OF ENERGY, DECREAS IN DEMAND DUE TO THE INFLATION AND MARKET SATURATION
Transport Client from Lithuania
Top 3 Risks: Energy prices, Recession, Unpredictability, Lack of education of dispatchers, forwarders, Lack of leadership, Technology
Transport Client from Netherlands
Top 3 Risks: Ukraine war, Energy prices, Situation in China, Rising cost for energy, Reduction in demand, Congestion in EU ports to continue, Unstable freight rates, Strikes, Energy crisis
Transport Client from Paraguay
Top 3 Risks: Difference in inventory, Lack of truck capacity, Fuel cost increase
Transport Client from Serbia
Top 3 Risks: Energy shortage, Inflation, Staff shortage, Energy issues, Russian intervention in UA, Covid 19
Transport Client from Spain
Top 3 Risks: Shortage of trucks, Transit times, Stock availabilty, Money, Reduction of sales, Inflation trend
Transport Client from Switzerland
Top 3 Risks: Raw marial shortage, Road Transport availability shortage, Cost increase in Transport, Fuel prices, Raw material prices (Wood, PP), Capacity shortage (drivers), Drivers issue, Fuel costs, Capacity, Not enough capacity, Rise of the ocean freight rates
Transport Client from Turkey
Top 3 Risks: Resession, Political risks, Climate
Transport Client from United Kingdom
Top 3 Risks: Low cost - long distance sourcing solutions, Container Pricing, Container Availability, Energy costs, Inflation, War in Taiwan, Rising energy costs, Raw material shortages, Port issues

The logistics market is currently consolidating rapidly. Do you see this development positive for your company?

Options Responses % Responses #
Yes, a higher consolidation in the market will lead to higher efficiencies and is therefore positive. 29.55 % 73
For our company, we do not see any major impact due to the consolidation trend. 33.60 % 83
No, it is not positive as the level of competition goes down and the price level will go up. 17.81 % 44
So far, we do not see any positive or negative impact of the market consolidation on our business. 19.03 % 47
Total 247
Answer Statements
Forwarder from United States
Both carrier and logistics markets are consolidating. It still remains to be seen how the logistics market will sort itself out. It is much different than the carrier market and the leverage is not the same. The consolidation of the carrier market on the other hand will mean higher costs as carriers control the assets and the pricing mechanisms. We have not reached the point to where the logistics market wields that much leverage. However, over time, we might see that happen.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
There is a thin line that must be maintained ensuring an artificial gap is not created between the big 5 forwarders and the rest of the market - open competition is what drives the market and saturation of consolidation can be just as harmful but I maintain that if managed appropriately and diligently we can certainly make great gains through consolidation across the supply chain
Forwarder from Canada
As a very stable small to midsize forwarder, the consolidation of companies is viewed as an opportunity. Some customers will still want the personalized service offerings only available at small - midsize companies and with fewer of these companies in existence, it will allow the remaining few a larger marker share.
Forwarder from Turkey
It worked very well for us . We could reach more customers and provide efficiency in operations . If there are more companies like us than the competition will get to a fair level . Unfortunately audits are not very strong by the government and there are too many companies that take advantage of it .
Forwarder from United States
The consolidation have helped efficiencies with vessel share agreements which helped carriers to become profitable and execute. While this can be seen from a negative and/or positive standpoint I do believe it to be positive at the end because a healthy and sustainable rate level is good for everyone
Forwarder from Spain
These situations entail instabilities and risks, therefore they can be seen as threats, but also as opportunities. Our job is to be very attentive and know how to take advantage of the possibilities and minimize the risks... easy to say, complicated to carry out
Forwarder from India
There is a role for " One & All ", it's all about how you position yourself. We just continue to remain innovative, sell solutions rather than only rates, improvise our digitalization capability to stay ahead of the curve and beat competition
Forwarder from Poland
The change in customer approach - the willingness to collaborate on a multi-channel basis - increases the efficiency of all processes. Optimization of costs, time, electronic document circulation, warehouse management, visibility
Forwarder from Germany
Actually, I consider this normal... and I am not against it but personally, I think, it would be better to have more competition....the question is if we really need many freight service companies....
Forwarder from Serbia
Our company taken several actions, weekly, monthly meetings (internal) and with clients (transporters). We had situation that pressure was going down, and slowly situation was going to be normal.
Forwarder from India
Its better for our Organization at Country & Global level but certainly not healthy situation for overall market being good competition is getting out making more dependability of some players.
Forwarder from Hong Kong
M&A will need extra time to settle the synergy between two companies especially for MNCs. The ultimate outcome is very much depending on the skill set of senior management to make it happen
Forwarder from France
Logistics market, especially freight forwarding industry, need a consolidation in order to create value. we have too many competitors, with fewer suppliers that increase our risk level.
Forwarder from Cameroon
Du faite de la concurrence et des intérêts pas toujours convergent, la tendance à la consolidation ne va pas apporter du nouveau dans le secteur. surtout sur les marchés Africains.
Forwarder from United States
Heading towards monopolizing anything is never a good thing. What makes the wheels of economy healthy is competition. The more consolidation there are the less say we have. M
Forwarder from El Salvador
The giants of the business will flush the little ones and as they monopolize the market they will set the prices as they want with out an entity that can regulate them.
Forwarder from United States
We actually have seen opportunities and capitalized in this environment. Bigger may drive efficiencies, but consolidation typically drives down client satisfaction.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
A slight positive for us as customers tend to suffer a downturn in service levels in corporate buyouts. We have benefited from traders seeking us out in these cases
Forwarder from Austria
The consolidation in the shipping industry and its impact are already highly visible for the past 18 months...the freight forwarder market is still very fragmented.
Carrier from Romania
I do not see so much consolidation at all. As prices are leading while being volatile, the empty km in the supply chain are growing. Which lead to lower efficiency.
Forwarder from United States
Carriers are making over valued acquisitions in verticals they think will adapt to their management styles. In 3 years we will see a divestment trend.
Carrier from Ireland
We have been collaborating with a robust network of approved and reliable logistics providers with no significant negative impact on a service level.
Carrier from Spain
At Contract Logistics fine due the hgh demand of space at Barcelona Areas, nevertheless at Transportation could be a very hard and complex situation
Forwarder from Mexico
Since fcl - fcl rates are going down Nd bugets Wont be make Maybe the qty of teus will increase but never the profits nd either the budgets
Forwarder from Denmark
The market - no matter if air, sea or road - is extremely fragmented. Shippers and forwarders will all benefit from combining strengths
Transport Client from Italy
CONSOLIDATION IS POSITIVE, HOWEVER THE PRICES FOR SHIPMENTS (BY SEA AND BY AIR) ARE STILL VERY HIGH COMPARED TO THE PRE-PANDEMIC PERIOD
Forwarder from Germany
Only chance for our company to grow is by mergers and acquisitions as our infrastructure does not allow growth bigger than 5-10%
Forwarder from Switzerland
as a service provider we are fully customer focused and consolidation does not impact our ability to deliver excellent services
Forwarder from Mexico
We are capable responding and preventing customers emergencies and delivering fast reaction transportation solutions.
Forwarder from United States
Mergers are good especially if the larger forwarders merge opens up more Business for medium to smaller forwarders
Transport Client from Finland
Risks have to do with service level and commitment when trusted partners become consolidated into another entity
Forwarder from Spain
We are receiving more requests and are in the luxury position of being able to select what we want to quote for.
Forwarder from Brazil
We are talking about FF consolidating process. Shipping lines and airlines affect us ( it would be answer 3)
Forwarder from India
Shipping lines and larger forwarders are cornering the market and arm twisting the customers.
Forwarder from United States
The consolidation is not impacting our business one way or the other, and may help slightly.
Forwarder from Philippines
We.habe already seen positive value due to additional capital available for growth
Forwarder from Bangladesh
We buy some already & it will increased our quantity & profitability
Forwarder from Germany
In our Business segment currently no consolidation effects visible
Carrier from Ireland
As a specialist carrier we are not swayed by market consolidation.
Forwarder from Nigeria
Yes with higher consolidation, more profits are bound to be made.
Transport Client from Switzerland
For us it is exciting to see what is happening with DB Schenker.
Forwarder from Germany
as we are acting as 4PL provider do not see mayor changes
Transport Client from Switzerland
The consolation is any way good to reduce last mile cost
Forwarder from Austria
We are acting in a dedicated nish market for foodstuff
Forwarder from United States
We are the biggest logistics company in the world
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Not seen any of this in the roadfreight arena
Forwarder from Luxembourg
Already seen on the Sea freight carriers
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Is it consolidating rapidly?
Forwarder from United Kingdom
We are a niche business
Forwarder from Costa Rica
Opinion only
Transport Client from Spain
.

Based on comparable volumes, what level of average transport prices do you expect for the 4th quarter of 2022?

Options Responses % Responses #
Stable transport costs (shippers) / revenues (transport providers) 9.84 % 25
Slightly higher level 25.59 % 65
Significantly higher level 14.17 % 36
Slightly lower level 27.56 % 70
Significantly lower level 22.83 % 58
Total 254
Answer Statements
Forwarder from India
As the Sea Port congestion reduces, the capacity will unfold at the respective loading ports, which would cause the freight rates to drop. In addition, Q4 cargoes departing to arrive the western world end up during the holiday season and the demand during this period is lower than the previous quarter. Air Freight rates for retail / Fashion garments in early Q4-22 may spike momentarily but are not there to stick
Forwarder from France
Ocean freight market , import Asia, is falling, following the import, the high rates on the export will also decrease in 2023. On air, most of the capacity will come back as passengers have the ability to travel again. Finally on the road market, prices will remain high as we are facing a shortage of drivers
Forwarder from Qatar
Overall transport prices are expected to decrease. Ocean freight rates from Asia to Middle East has fallen significantly already during past several weeks while other rates are more stable. General expectation is that the market will start stabilizing and therefore driving the rates slightly lower.
Forwarder from Spain
In general, all costs tend to increase (Gas-Oil, drivers, vehicles,...) as well as the environment (truck loads, controls and penalties,...). We need to know which ones we can pass on to the market and which ones we will have to assume as an increase in cost. The problem is in margin management
Forwarder from Ukraine
Stable compared to the 3rd quarter 2022 in Ukraine. Fuel prices are more or less stable, no deficit, "transport visa-free regime" is valid for all ukrainian hauliers, no permissions are requested which were unavailable in the end of the year and influenced greatly rates in the 4th quarter.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
While the market is softening to an extent I believe elevated levels of yield can be achieved accompanied by better consolidation and access to capacity - we must maximise the volumes we have to minimise continued exposure and risk and in doing so we can reap benefit from peak season
Forwarder from United States
While I selected slightly lower level, at the time of this writing, rates for ocean containers have dropped to near pre-pandemic prices. They will stay at this level or climb slightly in the 4th quarter as blank sailings kick into gear.
Forwarder from Denmark
This is much depending on trade and mode. Ocean is dropping fast. Air dropping as well, however in a more steady way. Road in Europe is still very much impacted by EU Mobility package, war in Ukraine, Brexit (still) and more
Forwarder from Switzerland
Overall ocean rates will go down, but never back to the pre pandemic levels, Air will remain on par, Truck, Barge Rail will go up based on: diesel price but also overall salaries due to inflation corrections
Forwarder from Philippines
We have seen the meteoric rise and fall of ocean freight rates in the 3 months. The drop is so dramatic that carriers cannot remove tonnage as fast as possible and this has stabilized freight rates.
Forwarder from Switzerland
Base (ocean) rates coming down, but GRI, PSS, FCS will be put in play by carriers. On Trucking, Rail and Barge same not only for higher wages (salary indexations) but also Fuel will have an impact.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Currently we are seeing freight rates tumble from a very high level. I would expect to see that trend continuing as the global economy continues to struggle leading to continued spare capacity.
Forwarder from United States
I anticipate spot rates to continue to drop after Golden Week. Most likely we will see more blank sailings in the latter part of Q4 which will help plateau rates but not increase.
Forwarder from Poland
Cost of work - a lot of pressure from employees Fuel cost - dynamic change - not justified by anything - what's more, not predictable No drivers or carriers available.
Forwarder from India
I foresee overall volumes dipping in, significant lower level of prices from carriers to mitigate the delta. However for our country its good sign for development.
Forwarder from Germany
At the moment new line hauls can only be installed for 20% higher cost than existing line hauls. Market will be in favor of hauliers even with declining economy
Forwarder from Mexico
Based on Fuel costs surcharges and offering steady volume commitment within our transport partners, we can manage planned and justified increases to customers.
Forwarder from Switzerland
already container prices show 60-70pc lower YoY, air shows clear signs of softening in the new year. Road remains flat(ish) - fuel is the main challenge.
Forwarder from Singapore
With much more vessel capacity from the ocean liners, foresee its impacting lower rates trending downwards with weaker demand from shippers.
Forwarder from Germany
Especially on FEWB I see dropping rates, as long as we are not running into another war or war like scenario in Taiwan
Forwarder from Canada
There has already been an enormous decrease in rates prior to the end of Q3; there is not a lot of room left decline.
Forwarder from Nigeria
The rising trend of inflation in our country creates a more pessimistic out-tlook on prices of goods and services.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
The level of ocean pricing should reduce substantially, balanced by stable-high airfreight and ground transport.
Forwarder from United States
Rates are down considerably on the TPEB and falling below 2k west coast I believe drives even further reductions
Forwarder from United States
Costs are still 50% over pre-pandemic levels. Mega ships were built for lower operating costs per TEU.
Forwarder from Turkey
Significantly higher for export from Türkiye to EU . Significantly lower for import from EU to Türkiye.
Forwarder from Germany
Nobody knows but i would predict Air: A bit softer Ocean: A bite softer Road: A bit higher
Forwarder from United States
Particularly the ocean freight will be significant lower. No changes in the domestic sector.
Forwarder from Sweden
This for sea freight out of Asia, for road in Europe, they will continue on a high level
Forwarder from Denmark
Seafreight large reduction in level, Roadfreight more or less unchanged rate level
Forwarder from Bangladesh
I believe its okay now but not expect any additional charges via different issues.
Forwarder from Cameroon
De toute façon, c'est la tendance croissante du marché chez tous les armateurs.
Forwarder from United States
Ocean down a lot. Little to no impact on our US domestic service offerings
Forwarder from Denmark
Lower in 2023 due to lower turnover which ex Dsv would try to get more biz
Forwarder from United Arab Emirates
Lower trends in freight rates , more capacity to come into market in 2023
Forwarder from Brazil
Rates are decreasing, competition tougher: gross profit under pressure.
Forwarder from Germany
Even with shrinking volumes die to high fiel prices and drivers
Carrier from Italy
cot of trucking and railing will decrease due to lowest request
Forwarder from United States
No one is driving down fuel costs, or even talking about it.
Forwarder from United States
Rates are plummeting and probably will stabilize 4th quarter
Forwarder from Malaysia
Ocean freight dropped close to 20% compared to last quarter
Forwarder from Czech Republic
differ based on market / trade eg Asia outbound lower rates
Forwarder from Belgium
ocean market is collapsing due to drastic drop of demand.
Forwarder from Hong Kong
Rate will progressively going down in the next few months
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Non UK Haulier are getting more reluctant to come to UK
Transport Client from Italy
Lack of companies, trucks, drivers and fuel increase
Forwarder from Germany
Increase of energy costs and still a lack of drivers
Forwarder from Netherlands
Ocean is going a little bit down Air is still higher
Forwarder from Germany
Market slowly returns to it's normal regime
Forwarder from India
Freight rates have dropped significantly.
Forwarder from Spain
Need > availability = higher prices
Carrier from Spain
Prices to increase further in 2023
Carrier from Netherlands
higher fuel/energy costs
Forwarder from Costa Rica
Betting, no knowledge
Transport Client from Spain
.

Do you expect an easing of the supply chain disruptions in the 4th quarter of 2022?

Options Responses % Responses #
Supply chains will return to acceptable stability 4.74 % 12
Minor issues will remain, but easing and manageable 36.76 % 93
Still high level of Instability 55.34 % 140
It is getting worse 3.16 % 8
Total 253
Answer Statements
Forwarder from Germany
We will need to accept more often changing supply chains in future. There will be more and more unforeseeable drivers of supply chain disruptions, as well as changes come faster (eg. climate change). Therefore the uncertainty will increase.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
As stated above, we continue to see hesitancy in the market with carriers continuing to favour SPOT pricing and steering away from hard, and even soft, block agreements outside of the absolute minimum to maintain active relationships
Forwarder from United States
There will still be a high level of instability due to uncertainty. Nevertheless, the disruptions will be minimal as congestion eases. The uncertainty will depend upon carrier blank sailings, IPI volumes and ILWU negotiations.
Forwarder from United States
The instability has shifted from LAX vessel congestion to more rail, IPI and chassis issues inland. With dropping demand I would also expect the vessel queues in Savannah and NYC to get better.
Forwarder from Denmark
Still high disruption levels, however due to more capacity, loosening congestions and falling volumes, we will see a better and less disrupted market. Not as pre- pandemic though
Forwarder from Poland
Cost of work - a lot of pressure from employees Fuel cost - dynamic change - not justified by anything - what's more, not predictable No drivers or carriers available.
Forwarder from United States
It has improved - it certain pockets that still crest pain such as Certain inland rail points, and issues with container availability at certain ports.
Forwarder from Spain
I don't think stability will return. But the decrease in activity will give the sensation that calm has returned and that everything is stabilizing...
Forwarder from Cameroon
C'est même comme entretenu par les armateurs et les transitaires, pour continuer à tirer avantage du prix sans cesse croissant dû à cette instabilité.
Forwarder from Switzerland
Port-Port will be gettng better, the challenges will remain in, Port operations & container haulage. Price, People, Petrol, Equipment/Allocation
Forwarder from Canada
Although air capacity is slowly coming back online, the ocean disruptions will continue as the issues at destination ports have not been eased.
Forwarder from Qatar
While international side of supply chain is expected to be improving local services in Qatar will be significantly disrupted.
Forwarder from United States
As we lead toward Xmas, then Chinese new year plus the various shutdown of major CN cities, this drives unstable networks
Forwarder from United Kingdom
I think we can expect to see continued inflation to leading to an increase in industrial action at European ports.
Forwarder from India
Due to all the reasons explained in the previous questions, turning back to normality could be expected in Q2 2023
Forwarder from United States
There's still a lack of collaboration between industry segments despite extraordinary revenues and digitization.
Forwarder from Ukraine
Main issue influencing all business processes in Ukraine is war with russia. All other issues are manageable.
Forwarder from Switzerland
Infra structure issues across ocean and air freight (Air)Ports but also Rail not able to handle the volumes
Forwarder from Poland
Carriers will start to recover with blank sailings and removing capacity from lower supportem trade.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Strike actions in ports and blue collar labour disputes will undoubtedly disrupt supply chains
Forwarder from Germany
Shrinking volumes will ease the networks as they where overwhelmed by the springnvolumes 2022
Forwarder from Mexico
Increasing need on WH and lack of space availability is expecting to be an issue during Q4.
Forwarder from Poland
for example Russian will probably close their market against european hauliers in October
Forwarder from Hong Kong
Minor issue such as port congestion and labor issue will affect the overall efficiency
Carrier from Ireland
Expect more geopolitical instability in more regions particularly in Asia and Europe.
Forwarder from Philippines
We are still faced with port issues, fuel issues, but overall stability is expected.
Forwarder from United States
We are managing plenty of opportunities for new Business but margins will be lower.
Forwarder from India
Although minor issues are there in the supply chain, situation is getting better.
Forwarder from Bangladesh
Container & VSSL is still not available as per demand but it will overcomes soon
Carrier from Romania
Order intakes are yet changing which will lead to the next series of disruptions
Forwarder from United States
Globally still a lot of instability. Some areas are better but others are worse
Forwarder from Spain
Inbound from China, high sea rates, fuel prices, high inflation rates....
Forwarder from United Kingdom
I expect more blank sailings from carriers, to purposely hinder recovery.
Carrier from Ireland
The invasion of Ukraine will affect markets for several years to come.
Transport Client from Germany
depends on the pandemic issues, energy issues and available employees
Forwarder from Nigeria
Situation still critical, though tensions will ease with time.
Forwarder from France
KPI s on congestion are still high on NORth Europe and US
Forwarder from Denmark
Apart from USA where we still see disruptions currently
Forwarder from Germany
Big question mark on energy and possible blackouts.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Instability is in the carriers best interests
Forwarder from Brazil
China is back, space availability increasing
Forwarder from United Arab Emirates
No signs of betterment in any major markets
Carrier from Netherlands
dus to lack of components mainly
Forwarder from Malaysia
High uncertainty
Transport Client from Spain
.

Do you plan to cooperate with companies from your industry or with similar challenges and share experiences?

Options Responses % Responses #
No, we will manage challenges with our own resources. 44.62 % 112
Yes, we already cooperate with other companies from our industry. 39.84 % 100
Yes, but we want to develop even more cooperations and share experiences. 15.54 % 39
Total 251
Answer Statements
Forwarder from United States
Global problems requires more collaboration than inwardly focused companies are willing to engage. Profiteering reflects the selfish focus of Global carriers. When they discover that catering only to the Fortune 500 is a failed strategy, they will scramble for a return to a balanced portfolio.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Primarily we will continue to operate based on our trusted partners and within our own sphere of influence - as a forwarder we must remain diligent to avoid any suggestion of monopoly or anti-competitive behaviour while seeking synergies and new partners etc
Forwarder from Cameroon
Nous souhaitons plus de coopérations, et même créer de nouvelles structures, pour élargir les capacités et accroitre les opportunités, mais aussi pour élargir les coopérations avec l'étranger pour apprivoiser le plus de flux de transport.
Forwarder from United States
Not certain how to address this question. Each company has its own challenges and way to address supply chain issues. We count on our partners to deliver and as such, expect to work our way through any challenge.
Forwarder from Ukraine
We share experiences of managing difficult cases via business associations, we cooperate directly with other companies from our industry and supporting each other.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
Cooperation with other forwarders is at the heart of what we do. We rely on a global network of freight agents and hope to build on that.
Forwarder from Nigeria
We need more alliances at the international level . More Global Value chain inclusiveness for easier flow of the market supply chain.
Forwarder from United Arab Emirates
We are been doing investments in to give better customer experience to our customers with digital , on time , viability Platforms
Forwarder from Singapore
Moving towards digitalisation of better work efficiency & work flow hence developing more cooperation with service providers.
Forwarder from Spain
Smaller companies must always seek collaboration, it is the only way to survive and continue to grow
Forwarder from Philippines
Cooperation is critical in ensuring the industry in well tuned to respond to changes in the market.
Forwarder from United States
We are working with various partners to try to solve as many challenges as we can for our clients.
Forwarder from India
Outside our own Global offices, we do work with our partners in various reputed networks
Forwarder from Bangladesh
We always do share/discuss with our all stakeholders how to improve this situation.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
We have to re-consider our operating model and more cooperations will be essential
Forwarder from Brazil
We are part of independent agents network, cooperation is key for our success
Forwarder from Spain
No, in principle our company does not contemplate this type of collaboration
Forwarder from Switzerland
we look to leverage other best-in-class companies with industry experience
Forwarder from Germany
I think we will think about acquisitions more than about cooperations
Forwarder from India
As the compliance, its not possible to cooperate with policies more.
Forwarder from United Kingdom
We collaborate on final mile delivery projects with EV suppliers
Forwarder from Denmark
We acquire market insight from logistics advisory companies
Forwarder from Mexico
Synergies and merges are expected to be implemented.
Transport Client from Switzerland
Despite the idea is good. We are yet not ready.
Forwarder from United States
We do a decent job, but could improve
Forwarder from Mexico
For compliance we can not donit
Transport Client from Spain
.

For transport clients: Do you plan to relocate production processes to reduce the dependency on transport systems? (Nearshoring)

Options Responses % Responses #
No, our production network remains unchanged. 65.60 % 82
Not in the short term, but in the long-term production processes will be relocated. 19.20 % 24
Yes, we will relocate production processes. 10.40 % 13
Yes, we have already relocated production processes and will continue to do so. 4.80 % 6
Total 125
Answer Statements
Forwarder from India
Not currently, since a more permanent shift may not be prudent in the given scenario, where the expectations for the supply chain to return back to some level of normality could be expected by Q2 2023. Having said this , in order to be more efficient , cost effective and achieve " speed to market" , we always, on a case-to-case basis relocate our warehouses/ hubs closer to points where customer deliverables are met with as mutually agreed.
Forwarder from United States
I represent both a carrier and a forwarder. As such, we may relocate our discharge ports as customers demand changes in their supply chain.
Forwarder from United States
Does not apply as a provider of ocean, though we see some customers moving in that direction
Forwarder from Singapore
Relocated our backend IT support to Penang & Pune due to lower operational cost.
Forwarder from Cameroon
Pour l'instant, nos structures restent immuables.
Forwarder from United States
Not necessary applicable to us as forwarder
Forwarder from Bangladesh
It was well set up since some years back.
Forwarder from Philippines
No change in the status quoue for now.
Forwarder from India
Not related question to me.. Thanks
Transport Client from Germany
Mainly due to conflict of RU and UA
Forwarder from United Arab Emirates
Possible to looks at alternatives
Carrier from Netherlands
question n.a. for our biz model
Transport Client from Spain
We don't produce offshore
Transport Client from Spain
.

TEP – Transport & Logistics Expert Panel – hosts multiple events and facilitates the exchange on logistics- and supply chain topics. The aim is to provide helpful information to companies to better manage challenges in the entire supply chain process. Which topics or services would you be interested in?

Options Responses % Responses #
Forecasting 12.91 % 125
Supply chain stability 13.12 % 127
Sustainability 8.99 % 87
Mega trends in the logistics industry 13.64 % 132
Digitalisation 11.26 % 109
Procurement of transport services 11.57 % 112
Globalisation/Re-regionalisation 7.02 % 68
Identification of suitable providers 5.06 % 49
Market trends on capacity and demand development 16.43 % 159
Total 968
Answer Statements
Forwarder from United Kingdom
I think that Climate Change is about to become the one of the major driving factors in our market. Any freight forwarder not giving time and attention to their carbon footprint could see themselves left out of many bidding processes and lose clients. Those already on that path should share insights and methods to those of us yet to act.
Forwarder from Cameroon
En travaillant sur l'identification des prestataires appropriés, j'aurai une plus grande vue sur les opportunités d'accord avec les entrepreneurs extérieurs, en vue d'apprivoiser le plus de flux de transport.
Forwarder from India
Forecasting, supply chain Stability and Procurement of transport services are all inter-related, if assessed from a broader spectrum .
Transport Client from Italy
Generally speaking our turnover on transport is mainly based on express courriers network. Quite stable and regular
Forwarder from Philippines
We need to match supply and demand for stability. It will be interesting to get hold of upcoming trends
Forwarder from Spain
We are interested in all the proposed topics, but personally I am more involved in the ones indicated
Forwarder from United States
Demonstrate where collaborative efforts raise the quality and efficiency of the supply chain
Forwarder from Brazil
This points we are following already, and we would like to have TEP insights too
Forwarder from Nigeria
I am a consultant and develop the transport supply chain metrics at all levels.
Forwarder from Belgium
I'm afraid that IMO/sustainability will be delayed/diverted to later time
Forwarder from India
Great initiative to market trend analysis.. Thanks
Forwarder from United States
The selected topics are always of interest to me.
Forwarder from United States
The future of our industry. Embrace it!!!!
Forwarder from Mexico
All information offering is welcome.!
Transport Client from France
AS a 3PL company
Transport Client from Spain
.